Horse Racing: Individual Or Single Factor Handicapping – Part 1

Individual and single stand-alone factor handicapping can be trip, speed, race style, class, form and others. Each one of these can be used singularly for predicting races. The better the player is at using a single factor to determine racing outcomes the stronger his or her chances of making money. Here are a few of the strongest factors but these aren’t in any way all of them to handicap with. False favorites, physicality, speed, trip, first time starters, last allowed odds, jockey, form, class, etc. When using these and others look deeply into each one’s make-up because all single factors are made of several or more aspect components. But always remember that racing made of two major parts: profitcapping and handicapping.

Starting with the single factor of:

(A) class Handicappers use some of these:
(1) High quality horse running against lower quality horses.
(2) What did the horse cost? What goals do the buyer have for the horse?
(3) What race type (claiming, maiden, allowance, etc.) does the horse fit into?
(4) Size of the purse money indicates what owner is out to get.
(5) What level of competition quality has horse ran against?
(6) life-time earnings and so on.

(B) Jockey handicappers use some of these:
(1) Jockey’s record of accomplishment.
(2) Top 3 jockeys win 29% of win position races.

Also: (3) Watch for – good jockey with a bad horse, bad jockey with a good horse, good jockey with a good horse and a bad jockey with a bad horse.
(4) Top ten jockeys win approximately 60% of the time.
(5) The horse most likely to win is usually rode by a top ten jockey and so on.

(C) If you’re a form handicapper use some of these:
(1) The horse’s capacity to come across the wire found in the finish results.
(2) How good has horse been at each of the four ” call ” positions points.

Also: (3) How good has horse been at starting at gate.
(4) If the horse hasn’t raced in 45-60 days there’s about a 90% chance the horse won’t come in the win position.
(5) Look for horse’s physical and mental condition today.
(6) Look for the 3 most recent races.
(7) This is a simple technique: add all horses 3 last finished positions and compare.

(D) if you’re a last allowed odds (LAO) handicapper use some of these:
(1) Using the LAO as an elimination method has a 97% elimination capacity when used in certain way.
(2) Out of a sample of 113 horses tested only 3 Won the win position.

Also: (3) If a horse in its last races has last allowed odds of 59/1 or above then eliminate that horse from the win position.
(4) If a horse has 2 most recent races and its last allowed odds add up to 59/1 or more, then eliminate that horse from the win position.

Other points will be given in the next part. This is partially what individual or single factor handicapping is about.